.

- As the south-west monsoon swept across India with less than its usual force, many states face a gloomy harvest and a year of food shortages and drought. Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh and Uttarachal in the north and Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Tamilnadu are facing major crises. Twelve meteorological districts in the country have been hit by poor monsoon this year. Expected to start around mid-June and continue until September, the monsoon has been intermittent, with heavy rains around the north-east resulting in floods in two States Bihar and Assam, while the north and north-west have been relatively dry causing widespread crop damage and economic loss.

This year's drought raises many issues which need immediate attention. Some of these are discussed below.

Dry ponds, wells and handpumps are making life miserable for the poor sector of society. About 30% of the handpumps have gone dry. Women have to walk long distances to fetch water. Western Rajasthan is vulnerable in terms of all the scarcities. Water rates have gone up. Tanker tractors are charging extremely high prices. One tanker tractor of 1000 liters costs from Rs.200 to 500 depending on location and distance. According to Additional Relief Secretary Mr. Karni Singh Rathore, about 26,000 villages will face problems from the drinking water crisis.

PHED has a contingency plan of Rs. 518 crore. Overall 30,000 works of renovating traditional water harvesting structures have been identified under relief works. 3400 new handpumps and 1205 tubewells will also be bored. 1500 tanker tractors are supplying water in 1100 villages. Of the western state districts, the most severely affected is Pali. Each day, two trains of water must be provided to Pali. No district is in a position to provide water properly, as everywhere the rainfall is deficit. There is simply no way that 1500 tanker tractors could quench the thirst of 40 million people and 50 million livestock.

Most of the reports from District Collectors on the drought situation have prioritized fodder as the main concern. With nearly no agriculture, there is now a situation of fodder deficiency all over the state. Western Rajasthan districts are more affected. Because the drought is regional, neighbouring states like Punjab and Haryana, which used to supply fodder in normal years, are themselves facing similar worries this year. The scarcity in other states is not of great intensity as it is their first or second year of drought and they still have some buffer stocks of fodder, but not to supply other states. There is some fodder in Hanumangarh and Ganganagar districts, which other districts are procuring. There is a steep hike in fodder price - 40 kg now costs Rs �180 to 200- and this has led many into debt. Much of the available fodder is contaminated with high levels (upto 25%) of mud.

Due to the non-availability of water and fodder people have started abandoning their unproductive cattle, putting a mark on their foreheads in a last prayer under open skies. There are reports of animals dying of hunger and thirst. Animal carcasses can be found in the countrysides. Many people have started migrating to other states with their animals. In some instances, neighbouring states are obstructing this migration. Nearly 50% of the livestock could be lost.

The government has plans to open 3000 fodder depots. Many of them have been opened in western districts, but many have no fodder. The government has asked NGOs to open fodder depots and cattle camps but the delay of payments [and in some cases, non-payments] by the government has demotivated NGOs to open these camps.

Some suggestions from NGOs and fields are:

Looking around the daily wage labourers markets in the cities, one can easily find people from villages looking for somebody to provide them with work. Around the same time in past years, it has been difficult to find labourers, but now they are in huge numbers quarreling with each other to be hired. These people are migrants from other parts of Rajasthan. The labour wages have gone down sharply (Rs.40 per person per day), whereas according to Government regulations the minimum wage for a person per day is Rs.60. Nearly 10 million families in Rajasthan are affected because of drought this year. The worst affected are landless agricultural labourers, for whom relief works are the only hope.

Relief works were started from 15th August, 2002. The initial ceiling for the first quarter provided by the Rajasthan government was 500,000, but the actual employment generated was about 250,000. The wages were to be paid partially in terms of wheat and partially as cash (10 kgs. of wheat costing Rs.46 and Rs.14 as money). The wage provided to labourers per person ranged from Rs.15 to 55. Despite the regulation of the government that the minimum wage is Rs.60, no person recorded by a network of NGOs (Akal Sangharsh Samiti) has received this minimum wage. According to the government's own records the average daily wage paid in first quarter is Rs.50.31. The average was worst in Jodhpur and Jaisalmer, at Rs.32 per person per day.

In response to demands from non-BPL (Below Poverty Line) families the government has decided to include them in relief works. A new system has already been adopted in which three master rolls will be prepared in a month to cover more people. The employment ceiling will also be raised in the coming months.

Some suggestions from NGOs and fieldworkers are:

Normally a dry region with much hardship related to the absence of water, Rajasthan is reeling from even worse conditions this year. Unless the government machinery can facilitate a quicker response, the economic and social damage will be severe. Already, the losses have been significant, and with little hope of further rain, a bleak year lies ahead.


October 2002

works with the non-governmental organisation Health, Environment, and Development Consortium (HEDCON), working towards social reconstruction in the state of Rajasthan. To sensitize development agencies, VOs, NGOs, activists and people on the current drought situation in Rajasthan, HEDCON provides pertinent information for the media.

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Application of meteorological and vegetation indices for evaluation of drought impact: a case study for Rajasthan, India

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2010, Natural Hazards

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drought in rajasthan 2002

Drought in Rajasthan : 2002

Jul 31, 2014

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Drought in Rajasthan : 2002. Event 5. Rajasthan Drought:2002. Drought detected is the well documented Rajasthan drought. Drought loomed in all the 32 districts of Rajasthan with a deficit rainfall of 53.4%

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Drought in Rajasthan : 2002 Event 5

Rajasthan Drought:2002 • Drought detected is the well documented Rajasthan drought. Drought loomed in all the 32 districts of Rajasthan with a deficit rainfall of 53.4% • Approximately 40 million people and 50 million cattle were affected. The water table went down, wells and handpumps went dry.

Source : http://www.who.int/disasters/repo/8056.doc

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drought in rajasthan 2002 case study

Drought in Rajasthan: Poor groundwater situation, erratic rains in Barmer indicate ecological distress across Thar desert

With agriculture and cattle rearing being the only means of livelihood for locals of Thar desert, persistent drought has forced residents to migrate to other regions within the state while many others continue to cope with cascading effects of drought.

Drought in Rajasthan: Poor groundwater situation, erratic rains in Barmer indicate ecological distress across Thar desert

Editor’s note:  Rajasthan’s relationship with summer is not a pleasant one. The shortage of water in the region only adds to the misery of the people. Even before the onset of summer, over 5,000 villages in nine districts in Rajasthan — Barmer, Churu, Pali, Bikaner, Jaisalmer, Jalore, Jodhpur, Hanumangarh and Nagaur were declared ‘drought-affected’ by the state government. The drought in this area affects the economy of the region as employment options dry up and people start migrating to neighbouring states like Gujarat to survive. This five-part series will examine the reasons and problems related to one of the worst drought conditions in the region. This is the first-part of the series.

Barmer: Barmer district in Rajasthan is evidence of alarming changes in ecological indicators across the Thar desert. While total rainfall received in the region has registered an increase, its uneven distribution during monsoon season has affected crops putting farmers in distress. In 2017, Sheo-Kawas and Dhorimanna-Gudamalani belt of Barmer district received 245 mm rainfall just in last week of July which caused flood-like conditions in many parts of the district, but the state government same year had to declare 1,900 out of 2,775 villages of the district ‘drought-affected’.

With agriculture and cattle rearing being the only means of livelihood for locals of Thar desert, persistent drought has forced residents to migrate to other regions within the state while many others continue to cope with cascading effects of drought, which hampers agricultural production, results in shortage of drinking water and fodder, and affects both, human and animal health. Crop loss and low purchasing power have pushed the region into poverty.

Of the total cultivated 15,73,029 hectare land in 2016, crops on 10,95,230 hectare were destroyed due to the failure of monsoon. While the losses were not as bad in 2017—crop loss of 6,88,095 hectare of the total cultivated 15,50,213 hectare in 2018—saw a severe drought as crops grown on 12,61,513 hectare were lost of the total cultivated 15,18,190 hectare area.

The rural population of Barmer depend on the government to provide relief during times of drought whose inefficient management of relief efforts pushes them towards the common practice of seasonal migration.

Erratic rainfall

This strange phenomenon where the district has registered an increase in average rainfall over the years but also had to face drought almost every year in the last decade has posed a challenge in this largely rainfed agricultural region. While the average rainfall of the district was 275 mm in the last 10 years, it is 343 mm at present.

Of the total geographical area of 28,17,332 hectare, 18,63,365 hectare in Barmer is cultivable area. Of the total cultivable area, about 80 percent is rainfed region while rest is irrigated. Among the irrigated land, 5.15 percent area is irrigated with canal water while 31.09 percent is irrigated with open wells and remaining 63.73 percent using tube wells.

Pradeep Pagariya, a scientist at Krishi Vigyan Kendra in Barmer, says the region has been receiving more rainfall since past few years, but across a shorter period. Away from the normal monsoon of four months, the region now receives rainfall only for two months, which could even be limited to only a month at times.

Barmer in 2017 received 95 mm rainfall in June and 245 mm in July, but only 18 mm in August and saw no rain in September. Some parts of the district, approximately 208 villages of Dhorimanna, Gudamalani, Sindhary, Balotra and parts of Sheo tehsil received excess rainfall and faced flood situation, which also affected the crops. The district administration takes into account the crop assessment report to declare a district ‘drought-hit’.

Overexploitation of groundwater

Western Rajasthan, which encompasses Jalor, Barmer, Jaisalmer, Jodhpur and Bikaner districts, comes under an arid zone that has a high temperature, low humidity, low rainfall, erratic and poor textured soils. Agriculture system in this region is mostly rain-fed, mono-crop and of subsistence type because of climatic constraints. Water scarcity is a serious problem in the region with good rainfall expected only in an interval of three to four years. Rainfall data of the last 100 years shows the region has dealt with famines in 61 seasons, of which 24 were severe famines, while the rest were medium. A recent report of Central Arid Zone Research Institute (CAZRI) claims the Thar desert has been witnessing major climatic changes over past decades. According to the report, Thar witnessed about 17 thunderstorms annually in 1966, which has now reduced up to 2.5 per year. The trend of shifting sand dunes has also affected weather patterns.

These conditions have led the farmers of Barmer to look towards other sources of irrigation for their crops. With easy access to pumping instruments, groundwater is being drafted at an alarming rate. Approximately 2,000 tube wells have been dug in this region and high dependency on groundwater has resulted in its over-exploitation, says Pagariya.

Barmer was declared ‘over exploited’ region in the Ground Water Assessment Report 2013 prepared by Central Ground Water Department, which revealed the overdraft at 123.85 percent per annum. Six out of total eight blocks were categorised as ‘over exploited’ while one was declared ‘critical’. Baitu block in the district, with 226 percent overdraft, was notified as ‘Dark Zone’.

Another alarm in the report was that while the district’s groundwater recharge rate was 278.01 million cubic metre, the consumption rate was 312.14 million cubic metre. The groundwater level in the district has been declining at a rate of 5-6m each decade, according to the report.

Government’s fault: Foreign flora

AK Changani, Head, Department of Environment at MGS University, Bikaner says, “Extraction of groundwater has increased. Population density is increasing. Local flora and fauna are shrinking because of the uncontrolled growth of weeds and shrubs. Sand dunes are now covered with layers of Prosopis Julifolra ( Vilayati Babool ). This affects the natural phenomenon of sandstorm and rainfall distribution.”

In this region, groundwater is available at three to four hundred feet deep. Due to which earlier people could not able to get the water for agricultural purpose. But with advanced technology, people are now able to access deep groundwater. As a consequence of it, there is a sharp increase in tube wells.

Pagariya says that changes in groundwater table and an increase in average rainfall and irrigated area have together increased the humidity in the region. He claims that the humidity in the region was around 10 percent two decades ago but has jumped to 35 percent at present.

The government initiatives, like the Desert Development Programme (DPP) launched around two decades ago to control desertification and adverse effects of drought, have only added to climate woes, according to experts. Sand dunes accounted for 54 percent area of the state in 1990, which has now come down to 48 percent. Pagariya blames this ecological imbalance on plantation of foreign flora species, such as the Israeli Tortilis by the forest department in order to stabilise the sand dunes while ignoring traditional native species such as Khejri (Prosopis Cineraria), Jaal (Salvadora Persica), Kummat (Acacia Senegal), Gunda (Cardio Mixa) and Rohida (Ticumula Undulata). While arguing that the varieties planted by forest department were not conducive to the ecology of the region, Pagariya vies for dense plantation and other sand dune stabilisation methods that haven’t been explored.

Environmentalist Bhuvnesh Jain says traditional plants are familiar with the desert ecology being natural species of the region. Tampering with nature results in punishment, says Jain, adding that traditional plant species not only balance the climate cycle in the desert region but also support the rural economy by providing a source of additional income to rural Indians since decades.

The author is Barmer-based freelance writer and a member of 101Reporters.com.

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Drought in rajasthan 13 jul 2000.

  • Govt. India

During the current year, the Rajasthan Government mounted a major campaign to fight the drought, which affected 261.79 lakh human population and devised solutions through partnership between Government and Civil Societies at all levels.

This year 23406 villages out of total villages 39,810 were affected due to drought. This natural calamity has resulted consecutively for the second year into acute shortage of drinking water, fodder and employment. The Rajasthan Chief Minister, Shri Ashok Gehlot directed all activities to be carried out for providing employment to increase the purchasing power and check the migration in famine affected areas. Now, looking to the delay in monsoon, the State Government has decided to continue the ongoing relief works upto 15th July, 2000. The State Govt. had prepared a drought contingency plan as early as January 2000, when it was realized that State was heading for a situation of famine. At present about 16,60,828 laborers are being provided employment on 31960 relief works through out the State. About 49457 relief works have been sanctioned.

No Death Due To Hunger

The State Govt. has ensured that there was no human loss due to famine in any part of the State.

Food For Work

Mr. Ashok Gehlot urged the centre to supply wheat as "grant", as State was not in position to purchase wheat as offered by the Centre. If we have to pay BPL rates of this lot of food grain, State would require to spend Rs. 80 Crores out of Rs. 102.30 crores which came as central assistance for drought relief, Mr. Gehlot said.

Medical Check-Up Of Laborers At Famine Relief Work:

Arrangements have been made for periodic check-up of the laborers at the work site through mobile teams. Funds for mobility of mobile teams have been provided to the collectors. Supply of medicine was ensured at all level besides each district collector was allotted Rs. 2 lakh to purchase drugs and medicine as per local needs.

Nabard Plan

At the initiative of Mr. Ashok Gehlot loan of Rs. 144.26 crores from NABARD is being used for creating assets of permanent nature through famine relief works. The finance, thus available is being used for construction of rural roads- 5000 kilometer long (Rs. 200.00 crores), 2000 school buildings (49.40 crores) and 1000 drinking water facilities, irrigation works as Water Harvesting Structures (Rs. 29.94 crores) with total investment of Rs. 278.40 crores. These works are being carried out through Panchayati Raj Institutions and instructions have been given to complete these in stipulated period.

Monitoring Arrangements:

At the State level, a task force committee headed by the Chief Minister along with Development Commissioner is regularly monitoring the activities of all departments relating to famine relief works, drinking water, fodder, medical and health and nutrition etc.

Centre Funds For Relief Operation

To meet the famine needs, Rajasthan had asked in November 99 for Rs. 1144 crores in 1999-2000 from the National Funds for Calamity Relief (NFCR). At the recommendation of Central team, financial assistance of Rs. 102.30 crores had been released.

The total requirement of assistance from Govt. of India under NFCR was Rs. 1144.40 crores. The State Government has allocated Rs. 18.62 crores out of Rs. 20 crore received from the Prime Ministers Relief Fund as Rs. 2.74 crores was utilized for water transportation, Rs. 5.32 crores for fodder transportation, Rs. 2.68 crores for buying medicines by Animal Husbandry Department and Rs. 40 lakh to Sheep and Wool Department for purchasing medicine.

The Relief Secretary directed all the 26 famine stricken districts that the transport subsidy on fodder for Goshalas and cattle camps and subsidy on cattle feed should be continued upto 31st July, 2000. Looking to the alarming situation of acute shortage of fodder, the State Government took decision to divert fodder from neighboring States Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh for the benefit of the livestock of the famine hit areas. Fodder loaded trains and trucks arrived from various parts of the country and distributed at subsidized rates and in some cases free of cost to the Goshalas by the district administration. Out of sanctioned 2458 fodder depots, 1732 fodder depots are functioning and 2,646,848 quintals of fodder has been distributed in 405 cattle camps benefiting 2,12864 cattle.

Cattle Camps Gaushalas:

Due to low purchasing power, the farmers were not in position to maintain their cattle, so a large number of cattle in abandoned condition were being kept in special camps and in 215 Gaushalas, benefiting about 84090 cattle. Cattle feed subsidy to the tune of Rs. 5/- per day per cattle was also given. The State Govt. decided to increase the subsidy of Rs. 5/- to Rs. 6 for small animals and for big animals from Rs. 10 to Rs. 13.50 per day per animal. Similarly the transport subsidy for fodder has also been increased from Rs. 60 to Rs. 80 per quintal with immediate effect.

Expressing concern over shortage of fodder in some districts, the Chief Minister gave urgent instructions to purchase the fodder from neighboring states- Haryana, Punjab, Madhya Pradesh. Mr. Gehlot also got assurance on phone from Mr. Om Prakash Chautala, Haryana Chief Minister and from Mr. Subhash Yadav, Deputy Chief Minister of M.P. to the fodder would be despatched in the affected areas of Rajasthan.

Drinking Water

The State Government has also worked on contingency plan for proper drinking water facilities. The indiscriminate sinking of tube wells has depleted water table in Rajasthan, therefore massive awareness campaign to "conserve water and promote its judicious use" is being carried out on war footing. The Chief Minister has urged to launch innovative schemes for water conservation by rejuvenation and reviving traditional water harvesting structures. The Government is also stipulating to make it compulsory for new big building to install percolating borewell system to conserve rain water, which is cheapest and best method.

About 1.2 lakh population of six towns and 36 villages of Jodhpur, Ajmer and Bikaner divisions were supplied potable water through trains. Emergency schemes to maintain the supply of drinking water through Railway Tankers and Road truck tankers was implemented.

Presently 2682 villages are being provided drinking water (995.50 lakh litres) through 1146 tankers and till date through 3985 Rail wagons in 260 Rail Racks water was transported. about 1.74 lakh Hand Pumps after carrying out repairs to 1840.62 hand pumps are catering to the need of drinking water in 2,139 villages. In addition to this 373 new tube wells, 2472 new hand pumps were constructed alongwith the arrangement to hire 83 tubewells for supply have also been taken. Many villages are being connected with water supply schemes and elaborate arrangements have been made to streamline the operation of various drinking water schemes.

The Chief Minister, while stressing on creating assets of permanent nature through famine relief works has directed the officials to complete the work relating to construction of tube wells and handpumps under the contingency plan on time.

The PHED department has made arrangements in different districts with a view to maintain quality of potable water. Samples of water were being tested regularly. According to official report 55563 water samples had been tested from January this year till so far.

(Source : Department of Information & Public Relations, Jaipur)

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Climate-driven changes in drought metrics across the Yellow River Basin based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6

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  • Published: 17 September 2024
  • Volume 34 , pages 1841–1856, ( 2024 )

Cite this article

drought in rajasthan 2002 case study

  • Jiayuan Liu 1 ,
  • Xianfeng Liu 1 ,
  • Juan Liang 1 &
  • Yu Feng 2  

Recent climate change has accelerated the global hydrological cycle, substantially affecting drought metrics such as drought duration and drought propagation; however, knowledge of drought patterns in these metrics remains limited. Here, we aimed to address the evolution and influencing factors of major drought metrics under past and future climate scenarios within the Yellow River Basin (YRB) based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). Accordingly, we investigated the changes in drought duration for meteorological drought and agricultural drought across the YRB and identified the variability in drought propagation time from meteorological drought to agricultural drought by using a standardized precipitation/soil moisture index and run theory. Meteorological and agricultural drought duration, and propagation time, increased from 1850 to 2014, decreased significantly from 2015 to 2100 with change trends of −0.0027, −0.0197, and −0.002 month/year, respectively. Drought duration had a negative sensitivity to humidification, and agricultural drought was more sensitive than meteorological drought. Propagation time exhibited a greater sensitivity to meteorological humidification than agricultural humidification. The results also suggest that precipitation, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture are the main drivers of drought metric changes, with air temperature and crop cover exhibiting a strong indirect effect on drought metrics in the YRB. Decreased propagation time from meteorological to agricultural drought and decreased duration provide evidence for the accelerated occurrence and increased impact of drought, highlighting the importance of a more comprehensive understanding of drought metric changes under rapid climate change.

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Data Availability Statement

We would like to acknowledge the World Climate Research Program’s Working Group on Coupled Modeling. We thank the climate modeling groups for producing and making their model outputs available. The data is available at http://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6 .

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Jiayuan Liu, Xianfeng Liu & Juan Liang

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Foundation: National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.42171095, No.42371123; General Project of Key Research and Development Program of Shaanxi Province, No.2024SF-YBXM-532; The Social Science Foundation of Shaanxi Province, No.2020D039; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities, No.GK202201008; Open Foundation of the State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology of China, No.SKLURE2022-2-1

Author: Liu Jiayuan (1999–), Master Candidate, specialized in droughts research under climate change. E-mail: [email protected]

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Liu, J., Liu, X., Liang, J. et al. Climate-driven changes in drought metrics across the Yellow River Basin based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. J. Geogr. Sci. 34 , 1841–1856 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-024-2273-4

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